Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 2.125946 2.435513 2.776463 3.180176 3.645619 4.165949 4.792533
2025-06-22 1.601905 2.003978 2.488828 3.118053 3.915355 4.895029 6.194858
2025-06-29 1.325880 1.760237 2.317188 3.086661 4.127032 5.491688 7.428865
2025-07-06 1.123506 1.564875 2.159645 3.024293 4.257026 5.963157 8.524123
2025-07-13 1.046102 1.520127 2.187616 3.202913 4.720607 6.924636 10.403600
2025-07-20 0.937621 1.413779 2.110525 3.213258 4.931810 7.535885 11.833949
2025-07-27 0.871785 1.360000 2.100151 3.315440 5.284147 8.387766 13.728792
2025-08-03 0.793012 1.275792 2.031582 3.314734 5.468061 8.987950 15.282162
2025-08-10 0.721192 1.193757 1.955884 3.290605 5.605350 9.519320 16.774434
2025-08-17 0.653149 1.110088 1.867668 3.233402 5.675858 9.938837 18.112599
2025-08-24 0.613598 1.070005 1.847333 3.288822 5.945436 10.728643 20.210016
2025-08-31 0.578634 1.033975 1.829596 3.345322 6.220243 11.553154 22.467741
2025-09-07 0.533210 0.979108 1.780821 3.354959 6.438605 12.353851 24.905410
2025-09-14 0.481119 0.907323 1.695405 3.289388 6.512838 12.904716 26.962098
2025-09-21 0.439849 0.850887 1.631572 3.256186 6.643624 13.578838 29.368684
2025-09-28 0.399779 0.792135 1.556408 3.190237 6.697056 14.097976 31.513485
2025-10-05 0.391286 0.795069 1.602775 3.379124 7.310399 15.878238 36.759316
2025-10-12 0.365515 0.759747 1.567481 3.390064 7.537243 16.843751 40.262251
2025-10-19 0.351143 0.746615 1.576569 3.498132 7.994352 18.385852 45.393962
2025-10-26 0.328577 0.713431 1.539233 3.497385 8.199687 19.369901 49.292390
2025-11-02 0.306145 0.678171 1.493581 3.471866 8.342447 20.222219 52.987301
2025-11-09 0.283192 0.639378 1.436006 3.411367 8.391975 20.851315 56.190459
2025-11-16 0.270674 0.623205 1.428249 3.469980 8.746361 22.296326 61.863768